Domestic electricity prices will inevitably rise by up to 15 percent as of January – when energy-crisis measures are planned to be lifted, reactivating indexation clauses – if current unfavorable international trends continue, local electricity market officials has projected.

Upward trajectories of natural gas and CO2 emission right prices, as well as the danger of a further rise in already-elevated interest rates, are worrisome factors whose combined effect could push up electricity prices, one official pointed out.

In Greece, wholesale electricity prices have soared by 80 percent over the past three days. On Sunday, wholesale electricity was priced at 93.49 euros per MWh, rose to 127.75 euros per MWh yesterday, before reaching 168.43 euros per MWh today.

Worse still, these wholesale electricity prices have yet to factor in October’s sharp rise in the price of natural gas, up approximately 30 to 35 percent in the first half of the month, to a peak of 56 euros per MWh, as Greece’s wholesale electricity market factors in gas prices from a month earlier.

Natural gas holds the dominant share of Greece’s energy mix, at 43.35 percent, followed by renewables, well below with a 21.37 percent share.

Though still well below last year’s astronomical price levels, natural gas prices of as low as 30 euros per MWh, recorded early this month, now seem to be a thing of the past.

The Israel-Gaza war and threat of a wider conflict in the Middle East – a negative development that has already disrupted operations at Israel’s Tamar gas field, from where gas quantities are delivered to Egypt and processed into LNG for export to Europe – is already impacting prices.

Price levels have been hit even harder by last week’s discovery of damage to the Estonian-Finnish Baltic-connector gas pipeline and telecommunications cable.

As for CO2 emission right prices, they have skyrocketed to levels 500 percent higher than pre-energy crisis levels, reaching approximately 90 euros per ton and, according to analysts, are projected to remain elevated over the next three years.