A Russian initiative to establish Turkey as a central gas hub, through a revival of a revised version of the old Nabucco project plan, as the transitional government in Bulgaria had attempted to do last spring, appears to have hit an impasse and is unlikely to progress further.

Under the leadership of Bulgarian Prime Minister Nikolai Denkov, who assumed office in June, the new government in Sofia has veered away from the pro-Turkish stance of its predecessor. Instead, it has embraced a more pro-Western orientation in the realm of energy policy.

Also, the European Commission has not shown any interest to financially support the project, dubbed Solidarity Ring.

The ambitious plan had received the backing of certain political circles in Bulgaria keen to exploit Azerbaijan President Ilham Aliyev’s intention to more-than-double his country’s gas exports to the EU from 11 to 27 bcm by 2027.

Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary and Slovakia signed an MoU in Sofia in early May, in the presence of Aliyev, for increased gas supply to central Europe via the Solidarity Ring route.

However, talks in support of this gas pipeline project have ceased, despite its supposed intention to help end Europe’s energy reliance on Russia, EU sources have informed.

Athens, along with other major international energy players, contributed to this impasse. In a letter forwarded to the European Commission in May, Athens noted the project would degrade Greece’s role on the international energy map, upgrade Turkey’s, and serve Russia’s efforts to regain access into the European market, indirectly, by supplying Russian gas as Azeri gas.

This is possible as the Solidarity Ring would bypass Greece and follow a Turkish-Bulgarian-Romanian-Hungarian-Slovakian route into central Europe, meaning Ankara could use Turk Stream, the Russian pipeline running through Turkey, to feed Solidarity Ring.